Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 51.89%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
