Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 67.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 13.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lillestrom in this match.