SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | HamKam | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 8 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | FK Haugesund | 10 | -6 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Lillestrom | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Molde | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Viking FK | 11 | 10 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sandefjord | Draw | Lillestrom |
32.69% ( 0.57) | 23.48% ( -0.32) | 43.82% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 62.32% ( 1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.68% ( 1.78) | 39.31% ( -1.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.35% ( 1.84) | 61.65% ( -1.84) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( 1.19) | 23.71% ( -1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.17% ( 1.69) | 57.83% ( -1.69) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.69% ( 0.62) | 18.3% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.61% ( 1.04) | 49.38% ( -1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sandefjord | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.69% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.17)0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.37)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.48)0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.66% Total : 43.82% |
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