Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.