SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fredrikstad win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for HamKam had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fredrikstad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a HamKam win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fredrikstad in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fredrikstad | Draw | HamKam |
57.1% ( -0.52) | 23.27% ( 0.48) | 19.62% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( -1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.67% ( -1.93) | 49.33% ( 1.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.62% ( -1.76) | 71.38% ( 1.76) |
| Fredrikstad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% ( -0.87) | 17.04% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.8% ( -1.55) | 47.2% ( 1.55) |
| HamKam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.62% ( -1.07) | 39.38% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.92% ( -1.01) | 76.08% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fredrikstad | Draw | HamKam |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.91% Total : 57.09% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.37% Total : 19.62% |
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