Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HamKam win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a HamKam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
