SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 76.66%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for HamKam had a probability of 8.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a HamKam win it was 1-2 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | HamKam |
76.66% ( 0) | 14.38% ( 0) | 8.96% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.89% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.64% ( -0.01) | 32.36% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.02% ( -0.02) | 53.98% ( 0.02) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.07% ( -0) | 6.93% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.58% ( -0.01) | 25.42% ( 0.01) |
| HamKam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.75% ( -0.01) | 44.25% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.67% ( -0.01) | 80.33% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | HamKam |
| 2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.72% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.93% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.49% 4-1 @ 5.29% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.83% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.54% 6-1 @ 1.26% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 76.66% | 1-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.01% Total : 14.38% | 1-2 @ 2.72% 0-1 @ 2.5% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.02% 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 8.96% |
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