SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest HamKam win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HamKam | Draw | Molde |
30.04% ( 0.36) | 23.81% ( 0.11) | 46.14% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 59.77% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.91% ( -0.31) | 42.09% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.5% ( -0.32) | 64.49% ( 0.32) |
| HamKam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( 0.08) | 26.69% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.05% ( 0.1) | 61.94% ( -0.1) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% ( -0.31) | 18.46% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.34% ( -0.53) | 49.65% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| HamKam | Draw | Molde |
| 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.04% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.51% Total : 46.14% |
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