SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 38.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.65%) and 0-2 (4.87%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Molde |
38.12% ( 0.07) | 22.58% ( -0.01) | 39.3% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 67.06% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.37% ( 0.07) | 33.64% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.55% ( 0.08) | 55.45% ( -0.07) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.63% ( 0.06) | 18.37% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.51% ( 0.1) | 49.49% ( -0.1) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( 0.01) | 17.85% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.39% ( 0.01) | 48.61% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Molde |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.71% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 38.12% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.01% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 39.3% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
