SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 60.71%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 20.09% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Lillestrom |
60.71% ( -0.15) | 19.2% ( 0.1) | 20.09% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 65.45% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.15% ( -0.41) | 29.85% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.99% ( -0.5) | 51.01% ( 0.5) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.31% ( -0.16) | 9.69% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.7% ( -0.37) | 32.3% ( 0.37) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( -0.2) | 27.53% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.96% ( -0.26) | 63.04% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.91% Total : 60.71% | 1-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.2% | 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 20.09% |
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