Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 60.71%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 20.09% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
Molde	Draw	Lillestrom
60.71% ( -0.15)	19.2% ( 0.1)	20.09% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 65.45% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.15% (

-0.41)

29.85% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.99% (

-0.5)

51.01% (

0.5)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.31% (

-0.16)

9.69% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.7% (

-0.37)

32.3% (

0.37)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.47% (

-0.2)

27.53% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.96% (

-0.26)

63.04% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Molde 60.71%

Lillestrom 20.09%

Draw 19.2%

Molde	Draw	Lillestrom
2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.91% Total : 60.71%	1-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.2%	1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 20.09%