SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Molde had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosenborg | Draw | Molde |
38.74% ( 0.04) | 24.07% ( -0.01) | 37.2% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.21% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.8% ( 0.06) | 41.2% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.41% ( 0.06) | 63.59% ( -0.06) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% ( 0.05) | 21.38% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.64% ( 0.07) | 54.36% ( -0.07) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( 0.01) | 22.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.47% ( 0.01) | 55.53% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosenborg | Draw | Molde |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 38.74% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.2% |
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