Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
