Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.