SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 59.4%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 20.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 1-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
59.4% ( -0.04) | 20.26% ( 0.02) | 20.34% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.8% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.29% ( -0.04) | 34.71% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.34% ( -0.04) | 56.66% ( 0.04) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.52% ( -0.02) | 11.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.67% ( -0.05) | 36.33% ( 0.05) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.81% ( 0) | 30.18% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.66% ( 0) | 66.34% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.2% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.27% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 59.4% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.26% | 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 20.34% |
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