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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 28
Nov 27, 2021 at 5pm UK
Arasen Stadion

Lillestrom
4 - 1
Stromsgodset

Lehne Olsen (21', 44', 61'), Dragsnes (45')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Hove (86')
Leifsson (18'), Krasniqi (53'), Fjeld Gulliksen (90')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Lillestrom and Stromsgodset.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 52.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Stromsgodset win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.

Result
LillestromDrawStromsgodset
52.64%24.18%23.18%
Both teams to score 52.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02%48.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94%71.07%
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44%18.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.18%49.82%
Stromsgodset Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.36%35.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.59%72.41%
Score Analysis
    Lillestrom 52.64%
    Stromsgodset 23.18%
    Draw 24.17%
LillestromDrawStromsgodset
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 9.38%
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-0 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 2.8%
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-0 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 52.64%
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 6.83%
1-2 @ 5.93%
0-2 @ 3.52%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 23.18%

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