Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 52.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Stromsgodset win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
