Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
