Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Tromso IL had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Tromso IL win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
