Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Mjondalen had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Mjondalen win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
