SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 77.96%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 8.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.15%), while for a Stromsgodset win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Stromsgodset |
77.96% ( 0.06) | 13.51% ( -0.02) | 8.53% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.71% ( -0.05) | 29.29% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.67% ( -0.07) | 50.33% ( 0.07) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.98% ( 0) | 6.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.05% | 22.95% ( 0) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.12% ( -0.13) | 42.88% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.81% ( -0.12) | 79.19% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Stromsgodset |
| 2-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0)3-1 @ 8.08% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 5.68% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.19% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.49% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.48% Total : 77.96% | 1-1 @ 6.15% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 13.51% | 1-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.19% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 8.53% |
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