SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 14 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 14 | 12 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Valerenga Fotball | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 | FK Haugesund | 14 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Tromso IL | 12 | -7 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 13.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | FK Haugesund |
69.16% ( -0.92) | 17.41% ( 0.47) | 13.43% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 56.59% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.71% ( -1.17) | 34.29% ( 1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.81% ( -1.33) | 56.19% ( 1.33) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.04% ( -0.5) | 8.96% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.41% ( -1.23) | 30.59% ( 1.23) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.17% ( -0.11) | 37.83% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.4% ( -0.11) | 74.6% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | FK Haugesund |
| 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.3)3-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.14)5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.08)6-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.98% Total : 69.16% | 1-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.41% | 1-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.91% Total : 13.43% |
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