Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 71.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 11.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 1-2 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
