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ML
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
Aker Stadion
D

Molde
3 - 1
Dundalk

Wolff Eikrem (30'), Omoijuanfo (41'), Ellingsen (67')
Rode Gregersen (52'), Risa (84'), Knudtzon (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Flores (90+4')
Gartland (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawDundalk
60.47%22.34%17.19%
Both teams to score 48.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.93%49.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.85%71.14%
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2%15.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.06%44.94%
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.96%42.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.53%78.47%
Score Analysis
    Molde 60.46%
    Dundalk 17.19%
    Draw 22.33%
MoldeDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 12.25%
2-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 6.96%
3-1 @ 6.03%
4-0 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-2 @ 1.21%
5-0 @ 1.19%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 60.46%
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 6.64%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 22.33%
0-1 @ 5.75%
1-2 @ 4.6%
0-2 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 17.19%

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