Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.