Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Molde had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.
