Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 71.25%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 11.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Stabaek Football win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.