Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 73.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 11.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.25%) and 3-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%), while for a Stromsgodset win it was 1-2 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.