SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Odd | 14 | -5 | 19 |
| 9 | Rosenborg | 12 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | HamKam | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Valerenga Fotball | 12 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Jerv | 12 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 10 | -15 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 70.56%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Jerv had a probability of 12.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 3-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Jerv win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosenborg | Draw | Jerv |
70.56% ( -0.11) | 16.71% ( 0.01) | 12.72% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.14% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.4% ( 0.2) | 32.6% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.73% ( 0.23) | 54.27% ( -0.23) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.77% ( 0.03) | 8.23% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.22% ( 0.07) | 28.78% ( -0.06) |
| Jerv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.26% ( 0.28) | 37.74% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.48% ( 0.28) | 74.52% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosenborg | Draw | Jerv |
| 2-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 70.56% | 1-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.71% | 1-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.85% Total : 12.72% |
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