Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Rosenborg had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Rosenborg win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
-0.79) 
0.23) 
