Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 10

Jun 19, 2022 at 5pm UK

Arasen Stadion

Lillestrom
3 - 1
Rosenborg

Matthew (32'), Dragsnes (38'), Knudsen (87')
Matthew (75')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Vecchia (16')
Skarsem (75'), Vagic (90+3')

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Lillestrom and Rosenborg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Rosenborg had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Rosenborg win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.

Result
Lillestrom	Draw	Rosenborg
53.48% ( -0.79)	25.03% ( 0.23)	21.49% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 47.79% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.97% (

-0.28)

54.03% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.53% (

-0.24)

75.47% (

0.24)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.81% (

-0.43)

20.19% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.51% (

-0.69)

52.49% (

0.68)

Rosenborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.88% (

0.41)

40.12% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.24% (

0.37)

76.76% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Lillestrom 53.47%

Rosenborg 21.49%

Draw 25.02%

Lillestrom	Draw	Rosenborg
1-0 @ 12.95% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 53.47%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.49%