SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Lillestrom | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Molde | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Viking FK | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Aalesund | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 | Rosenborg | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 9 | Odd | 10 | -6 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Rosenborg had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Rosenborg win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Rosenborg |
53.48% ( -0.79) | 25.03% ( 0.23) | 21.49% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.97% ( -0.28) | 54.03% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.53% ( -0.24) | 75.47% ( 0.24) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% ( -0.43) | 20.19% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.51% ( -0.69) | 52.49% ( 0.68) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.88% ( 0.41) | 40.12% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.24% ( 0.37) | 76.76% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Rosenborg |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 53.47% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.49% |
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