SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Lillestrom | 13 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Molde | 12 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Viking FK | 14 | 7 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Valerenga Fotball | 12 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Jerv | 11 | -13 | 10 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 10 | -15 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 74.49%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Jerv had a probability of 10.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 3-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Jerv win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Jerv |
74.49% ( 1.54) | 14.73% ( -0.35) | 10.78% ( -1.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( -3.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.1% ( -1.78) | 27.89% ( 1.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.39% ( -2.25) | 48.61% ( 2.25) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.65% ( -0.13) | 6.35% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.15% ( -0.35) | 23.85% ( 0.34) |
| Jerv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.52% ( -3.23) | 37.48% ( 3.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.74% ( -3.31) | 74.25% ( 3.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Jerv |
| 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.82) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.7)3-1 @ 8.16% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.64)4-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.45)4-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4% ( -0.37)5-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.23)5-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.27)5-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.16)6-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.09)6-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.88% Total : 74.49% | 1-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.36)0-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.25% Total : 14.73% | 1-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.18)Other @ 1.68% Total : 10.78% |
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