Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.
