Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kristiansund would win this match.