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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 14
Aug 8, 2021 at 7pm UK
Nadderud Stadion

Stabaek
3 - 1
Sarpsborg

Wangberg (7'), Valaker Edvardsen (45+1', 56')
Wernersson (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Fardal Opseth (81')
Karamoko (68')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Stabaek Football and Sarpsborg 08.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stabaek Football win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stabaek Football win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stabaek Football would win this match.

Result
Stabaek FootballDrawSarpsborg 08
39.92%27.85%32.22%
Both teams to score 47.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.89%58.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.22%78.77%
Stabaek Football Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55%28.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.79%64.21%
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69%33.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08%69.92%
Score Analysis
    Stabaek Football 39.92%
    Sarpsborg 08 32.22%
    Draw 27.85%
Stabaek FootballDrawSarpsborg 08
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 7.49%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 39.92%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.47%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 10.41%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 5.73%
1-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.22%

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