Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stabaek Football win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stabaek Football win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stabaek Football would win this match.