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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 22
Sep 17, 2023 at 6.15pm UK
Intility Arena
A

Valerenga
3 - 1
Aalesund

Ilic (17', 54'), Kristoffer Hagen (50')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ramsland (13')
Molvaer Melland (7'), Segberg (86')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Valerenga Fotball and Aalesund.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Viking FK 1-1 Valerenga
Saturday, September 2 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Aalesund 1-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, September 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 71.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 11.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 3-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-2 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valerenga Fotball would win this match.

Result
Valerenga FotballDrawAalesund
71.61% (0.191 0.19) 16.66% (-0.298 -0.3) 11.73% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.93% (1.565 1.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.91% (1.801 1.8)35.09% (-1.799 -1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.91% (1.981 1.98)57.09% (-1.977 -1.98)
Valerenga Fotball Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.38% (0.5 0.5)8.62% (-0.4959 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.25% (1.206 1.21)29.75% (-1.203 -1.2)
Aalesund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.01% (1.4 1.4)40.99% (-1.396 -1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.46% (1.225 1.23)77.55% (-1.223 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Valerenga Fotball 71.6%
    Aalesund 11.73%
    Draw 16.66%
Valerenga FotballDrawAalesund
2-0 @ 10.61% (-0.47 -0.47)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.67% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.595 -0.6)
3-1 @ 7.73% (0.139 0.14)
4-0 @ 5.31% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.74% (0.191 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.19 0.19)
5-0 @ 2.6% (0.067 0.07)
5-1 @ 2.32% (0.145 0.15)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.162 0.16)
6-0 @ 1.06% (0.051 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.04% (0.101 0.1)
6-1 @ 0.95% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 71.6%
1-1 @ 7.73% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.139 0.14)
0-0 @ 3.53% (-0.331 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 16.66%
1-2 @ 3.45% (0.035 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.15% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.02% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 11.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Viking FK 1-1 Valerenga
Saturday, September 2 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Valerenga 2-2 Odd
Sunday, August 27 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 0-0 Valerenga
Saturday, August 19 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Valerenga 1-1 Haugesund
Sunday, August 13 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stromsgodset 1-3 Valerenga
Saturday, August 5 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Valerenga 2-3 Sandefjord
Saturday, July 29 at 2.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Aalesund 1-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, September 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Rosenborg 4-0 Aalesund
Sunday, August 27 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 5-1 Aalesund
Sunday, August 20 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Aalesund 0-2 HamKam
Sunday, August 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Aalesund 1-0 Stromsgodset
Sunday, July 30 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Viking FK 3-1 Aalesund
Monday, July 24 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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