SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 14.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Viking FK in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Viking FK.
| Result | ||
| Viking FK | Draw | Aalesund |
66.55% ( 0.89) | 18.7% ( -0.58) | 14.76% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 55.48% ( 1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.56% ( 2.09) | 37.45% ( -2.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.33% ( 2.22) | 59.67% ( -2.21) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.57% ( 0.82) | 10.44% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.98% ( 1.83) | 34.02% ( -1.82) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.95% ( 0.91) | 38.05% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.18% ( 0.87) | 74.82% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viking FK | Draw | Aalesund |
| 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.6)3-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.17)5-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.17)5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.8% Total : 66.55% | 1-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.41)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.7% | 1-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.76% |
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