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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aalesund | Draw | Lillestrom |
24.06% ( 0.24) | 23.02% ( -0.15) | 52.92% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.22% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.9% ( 0.91) | 43.1% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.5% ( 0.89) | 65.5% ( -0.9) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% ( 0.7) | 31.64% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.95% ( 0.8) | 68.05% ( -0.81) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.71% ( 0.29) | 16.29% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.15% ( 0.53) | 45.85% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aalesund | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 3.41% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 24.06% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 5.91% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.33% 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.92% |
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