Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 76.34%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 9.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.
Result | ||
Rosenborg | Draw | Aalesund |
76.34% ( 0.14) | 14.63% ( -0.12) | 9.03% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.12% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.55% ( 0.54) | 33.45% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.76% ( 0.62) | 55.23% ( -0.62) |
Rosenborg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.76% ( 0.15) | 7.23% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.77% ( 0.39) | 26.23% ( -0.4) |
Aalesund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.11% ( 0.35) | 44.89% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.15% ( 0.27) | 80.85% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Rosenborg | Draw | Aalesund |
2-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.33% Total : 76.33% | 1-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.96% Total : 14.63% | 1-2 @ 2.74% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.69% Total : 9.03% |
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