SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Valerenga Fotball had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valerenga Fotball | Draw | Molde |
29.79% ( -2.03) | 23.61% ( -0.82) | 46.6% ( 2.85) |
| Both teams to score 60.35% ( 1.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.73% ( 2.81) | 41.27% ( -2.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.33% ( 2.79) | 63.67% ( -2.79) |
| Valerenga Fotball Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% ( 0.09) | 26.45% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.38% ( 0.11) | 61.62% ( -0.11) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.04% ( 2.32) | 17.96% ( -2.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.2% ( 3.84) | 48.8% ( -3.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valerenga Fotball | Draw | Molde |
| 2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.82)2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.54)3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.28% Total : 29.8% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.16)0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.63)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.43)0-2 @ 7% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.5)0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.36)2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.34)1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.36)0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.27)2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.24)Other @ 3.72% Total : 46.6% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
