Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Valerenga Fotball had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Valerenga Fotball win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.