SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 22 | 16 | 40 |
| 5 | Valerenga Fotball | 22 | 6 | 36 |
| 6 | Odd | 23 | -8 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | HamKam | 23 | -4 | 23 |
| 14 | Sandefjord | 22 | -15 | 22 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 22 | -18 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 65.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 3-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valerenga Fotball would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valerenga Fotball | Draw | Sandefjord |
65.01% ( 0.14) | 18.13% ( -0.04) | 16.86% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 63.02% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.81% ( -0.02) | 30.19% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.58% ( -0.03) | 51.42% ( 0.03) |
| Valerenga Fotball Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.2% ( 0.02) | 8.8% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.8% ( 0.06) | 30.2% ( -0.06) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% ( -0.13) | 30.9% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.81% ( -0.15) | 67.18% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valerenga Fotball | Draw | Sandefjord |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.73% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.33% 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 65.01% | 1-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.72% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 18.13% | 1-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 16.86% |
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