SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 28 | 38 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 18 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 18 | 14 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Tromso IL | 17 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 18 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Aalesund | 18 | -8 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Sandefjord |
57.22% ( -0.04) | 21.58% ( 0.04) | 21.2% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.35% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.17% ( -0.15) | 39.83% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.81% ( -0.16) | 62.19% ( 0.16) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.26% ( -0.06) | 13.74% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.98% ( -0.13) | 41.02% ( 0.13) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.65% ( -0.08) | 32.35% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.14% ( -0.09) | 68.86% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Sandefjord |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.79% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 57.22% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.46% Total : 21.2% |
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