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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 19
Aug 21, 2022 at 5pm UK
Arasen Stadion

Lillestrom
3 - 0
Sandefjord

Asen (26'), Kairinen (52'), Dragsnes (68')
Matthew (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ordagic (54'), Winbo (76')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Lillestrom and Sandefjord.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jerv 1-0 Lillestrom
Sunday, August 14 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sandefjord 2-5 Rosenborg
Friday, August 12 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.

Result
LillestromDrawSandefjord
57.22% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 21.58% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 21.2% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.35% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.17% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)39.83% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.81% (-0.159 -0.16)62.19% (0.161 0.16)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.26% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)13.74% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.98% (-0.125 -0.13)41.02% (0.128 0.13)
Sandefjord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.65% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)32.35% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.14% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)68.86% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Lillestrom 57.22%
    Sandefjord 21.2%
    Draw 21.58%
LillestromDrawSandefjord
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 57.22%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 5.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.02% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 21.2%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Jerv 1-0 Lillestrom
Sunday, August 14 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Antwerp 2-0 Lillestrom
Thursday, August 11 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-1 Tromso
Sunday, August 7 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-3 Antwerp
Thursday, August 4 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sarpsborg 0-2 Lillestrom
Sunday, July 31 at 2.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 5-2 SJK
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sandefjord 2-5 Rosenborg
Friday, August 12 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sandefjord 2-2 Viking FK
Sunday, August 7 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 3-0 Sandefjord
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sandefjord 2-0 Kristiansund
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sandefjord 2-3 Molde
Sunday, July 24 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Jerv 1-2 Sandefjord
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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