SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 20 | 14 | 37 |
| 5 | Valerenga Fotball | 20 | 5 | 33 |
| 6 | Viking FK | 20 | 5 | 29 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 27 | 41 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 20 | 19 | 41 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 20 | 14 | 37 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valerenga Fotball would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valerenga Fotball | Draw | Lillestrom |
48.53% ( 0.2) | 23.56% ( -0.04) | 27.9% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 59.13% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.73% ( 0.07) | 42.27% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.32% ( 0.06) | 64.68% ( -0.06) |
| Valerenga Fotball Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.41% ( 0.1) | 17.59% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.84% ( 0.18) | 48.16% ( -0.18) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( -0.08) | 28.24% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.05% ( -0.1) | 63.95% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valerenga Fotball | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.82% Total : 48.53% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.9% |
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