SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 13 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Valerenga Fotball | 14 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | FK Haugesund | 15 | -6 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 15 | 17 | 28 |
| 4 | Viking FK | 16 | 9 | 28 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 15 | 9 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Viking FK had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Viking FK win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valerenga Fotball would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valerenga Fotball | Draw | Viking FK |
42.92% ( 0.74) | 24.17% ( 0) | 32.91% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 59.92% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.5% ( -0.22) | 42.5% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.1% ( -0.23) | 64.9% ( 0.23) |
| Valerenga Fotball Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% ( 0.24) | 19.99% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.83% ( 0.38) | 52.17% ( -0.37) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% ( -0.54) | 25.1% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.2% ( -0.75) | 59.8% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valerenga Fotball | Draw | Viking FK |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 42.92% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.91% |
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