SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Lillestrom | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Molde | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Viking FK | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Tromso IL | 9 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 | Valerenga Fotball | 10 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | HamKam | 9 | 1 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Valerenga Fotball had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Valerenga Fotball win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Valerenga Fotball |
58.1% ( 0.01) | 22.56% ( -0.02) | 19.34% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.01% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.2% ( 0.08) | 46.79% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.94% ( 0.07) | 69.05% ( -0.08) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( 0.03) | 15.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.03% ( 0.06) | 44.97% ( -0.06) |
| Valerenga Fotball Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.77% ( 0.05) | 38.22% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.01% ( 0.05) | 74.98% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Valerenga Fotball |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.32% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 58.09% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.56% | 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 19.34% |
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