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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 14
Jul 17, 2022 at 5pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
0 - 1
Valerenga

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Layouni (30')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Valerenga Fotball.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 4-1 Sarpsborg
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Valerenga 3-0 Kristiansund
Sunday, July 10 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Valerenga Fotball had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Valerenga Fotball win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawValerenga Fotball
46.84% (0.94900000000001 0.95) 23.76% (-0.219 -0.22) 29.4% (-0.728 -0.73)
Both teams to score 59.54% (0.308 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (0.608 0.61)42.21% (-0.607 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.38% (0.605 0.61)64.62% (-0.605 -0.61)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (0.623 0.62)18.23% (-0.624 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.74% (1.049 1.05)49.26% (-1.049 -1.05)
Valerenga Fotball Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-0.179 -0.18)27.18% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42% (-0.234 -0.23)62.58% (0.235 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 46.84%
    Valerenga Fotball 29.4%
    Draw 23.75%
Sarpsborg 08DrawValerenga Fotball
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.073 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.43% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.146 0.15)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.105 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.089 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 46.84%
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.159 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 29.4%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 4-1 Sarpsborg
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 4-3 Sandefjord
Sunday, July 3 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 3-2 Sarpsborg
Sunday, June 26 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 5-1 Stromsgodset
Saturday, June 18 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Jerv 0-5 Sarpsborg
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-2 Molde
Thursday, May 26 at 7pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Valerenga 3-0 Kristiansund
Sunday, July 10 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Valerenga 0-1 Odd
Sunday, June 26 at 7pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Aalesund 2-2 Valerenga
Sunday, June 19 at 7pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Valerenga 0-4 Rosenborg
Sunday, May 29 at 7pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 2-0 Valerenga
Wednesday, May 25 at 7pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stromsgodset 3-2 Valerenga
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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