SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | FK Haugesund | 13 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Valerenga Fotball | 12 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Jerv | 12 | -13 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Valerenga Fotball | 12 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Jerv | 12 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 10 | -15 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valerenga Fotball would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valerenga Fotball | Draw | Kristiansund |
47.89% ( -0.59) | 22.88% ( 0.17) | 29.23% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 62.59% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.85% ( -0.54) | 38.14% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.58% ( -0.58) | 60.41% ( 0.57) |
| Valerenga Fotball Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.73% ( -0.42) | 16.26% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.19% ( -0.76) | 45.8% ( 0.76) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( -0) | 25.24% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% ( -0) | 59.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Valerenga Fotball | Draw | Kristiansund |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.6% Total : 47.89% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.23% |
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