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Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2021 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
F

AZ
4 - 2
Feyenoord

Boadu (22', 41', 64'), Koopmeiners (76' pen.)
Sugawara (9')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Senesi (8'), Sinisterra (25')
Linssen (47'), Botteghin (69'), Fer (75'), Berghuis (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFeyenoord
43.21%23.38%33.4%
Both teams to score 63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.45%38.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.15%60.84%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75%18.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.72%49.28%
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05%22.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28%56.71%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 43.21%
    Feyenoord 33.4%
    Draw 23.37%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 8.92%
1-0 @ 7.12%
2-0 @ 6.06%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 43.21%
1-1 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 4.19%
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 7.72%
0-1 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 4.54%
1-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 33.4%

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