Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.26%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (6.9%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
