Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
