Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
48.19% | 23.65% | 28.16% |
Both teams to score 59.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.48% | 42.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.08% | 64.92% |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.18% | 17.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.45% | 48.55% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% | 28.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.12% | 63.88% |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 9.46% 1-0 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-0 @ 4.3% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.72% Total : 48.19% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-1 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.74% Total : 28.16% |
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