Both teams have been mediocre at best and have struggled to pick wins up all season, and to say Nijmegen's matches have not been littered with goals would be an understatement, as nine of their 12 fixtures this season have seen two goals or fewer.
Cambuur have the worst home form in the division, but NEC are draw specialists, and have not won since August.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for NEC had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
-0.09) 
0.01) 
