SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for NEC had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NEC |
46.76% ( 0.2) | 25.46% ( -0.14) | 27.79% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.78% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.41% ( 0.52) | 50.59% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.5% ( 0.46) | 72.51% ( -0.46) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( 0.31) | 21.64% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.24% ( 0.47) | 54.76% ( -0.47) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% ( 0.23) | 32.65% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% ( 0.25) | 69.19% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.79% |
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